Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 505 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 505 · MSP → SEA

departs 10:08 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 505 · MSP → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?