Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 536SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
DL 536 · SEA → MSP
departs 9:05 AM PT · arrives 2:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.