Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 555 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

DL 555 · ANC → MSP

departs 12:44 PM AKT · arrives 9:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ 12pm departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

MSP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 555 · ANC → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?