DL 873 · LGA → DFW

departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 9:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 873 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?