Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1407
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1407 · BUF → ATL
departs 11:29 AM ET · arrives 1:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BUF that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.23 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.