Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1482
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 1482 · DFW → MCO
departs 8:28 AM CT · arrives 12:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.37 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.