Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1601
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 1601 · PHL → LAS
departs 11:06 AM ET · arrives 1:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.