Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1665
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
F9 1665 · BWI → MIA
departs 7:27 PM ET · arrives 10:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Wed 9/30 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 38%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 29% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.