F9 2135 · MIA → DFW

departs 2:34 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +40 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
32%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.63 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2135 · MIA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?