Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 2184 · TPA → CLE
departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 12:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.57 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.