Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2335
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
F9 2335 · RDU → MIA
departs 6:14 PM ET · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 41%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.