Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2609
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 2609 · PHL → FLL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
1.0 in of rain forecast at FLL that day
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.