Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2609
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 2609 · PHL → FLL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
FLL is prone to delays
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from PHL are usually not late
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.