Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2698
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2698 · PHX → CLE
departs 12:32 PM MT · arrives 7:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.