Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2885
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
F9 2885 · MCO → DFW
departs 9:05 AM ET · arrives 11:04 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 9/30 28%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±10 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.93 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.