Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2940
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
F9 2940 · MIA → BWI
departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 6:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.63 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.