Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3054
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 3054 · ATL → TPA
departs 7:38 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 43%
Sat 10/3 56%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.