F9 3073 · RDU → CLE

departs 3:48 PM ET · arrives 5:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3073 · RDU → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?