Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 3322 · MIA → RDU
departs 3:07 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 27%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MIA are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.67 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.