Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 3692 · ATL → IAD
departs 9:03 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 36%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
IAD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.