Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
F9 4753 · DEN → PHX
departs 10:36 PM MT · arrives 11:32 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.