Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1009
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 1009 · ELM → PIE
departs 8:51 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ELM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ELM usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ELM (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.