Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 1211 · XNA → GUF
departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 4:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at GUF more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at GUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GUF?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 0.9 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
XNA usually runs smoothly
↓
GUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.20 in
GUF (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.