G4 2141 · FLL → DSM

departs 6:41 AM ET · arrives 9:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.25 in

DSM (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2141 · FLL → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?