Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2495
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 2495 · PGD → LCK
departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LCK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LCK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↓
LCK usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
LCK (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.