Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2495 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

G4 2495 · PGD → LCK

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at LCK more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LCK?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK

↓ 12pm departures from PGD are usually not late

Weather at each end

PGD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LCK (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2495 · PGD → LCK

Odds over time

How late will it get to LCK?