Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2649
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
G4 2649 · MEM → PIE
departs 8:40 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.