Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 524 · FLL → LEX
departs 11:51 AM ET · arrives 2:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 35%
Sat 10/10 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
74%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
74%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
59%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 73% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 67% · changed +56 pts in 24h
+56 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
59%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.25 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.