Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 859
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 859 · ATW → PGD
departs 6:13 PM CT · arrives 10:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PGD at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at ATW that day
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at PGD that day
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.02 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.