Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
G4 956 · LCK → PGD
departs 8:21 PM ET · arrives 10:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK
Weather at each end
LCK (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.