Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 985
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
G4 985 · EYW → PIE
departs 10:27 PM ET · arrives 11:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 2.67 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.