MQ 3345 · DCA → CID

departs 11:57 AM ET · arrives 1:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CID (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3345 · DCA → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?