MQ 3368 · CLT → EYW

departs 3:37 PM ET · arrives 5:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EYW?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at EYW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EYW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3368 · CLT → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?