Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3417 · DFW → BHM
departs 4:39 PM CT · arrives 6:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 52%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
79%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
79%
Leave 15+ late
76%
Arrive 1h+ late
56%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +38 pts in 24h
+38 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
4pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 5.38 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.