Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3424 · SGF → DFW
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+26 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
52%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +40 pts in 24h
+40 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from SGF are usually not late
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,167 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip 0.75 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 2.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.