MQ 3494 · DFW → SGF

departs 12:26 PM CT · arrives 1:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

SGF (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility5.8 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3494 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?