MQ 3534 · MLI → DFW

departs 7:20 AM CT · arrives 9:41 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±9 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MLI that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from MLI are usually not late

Weather at each end

MLI (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.97 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.98 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3534 · MLI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?