Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3539 · DFW → GPT
departs 9:13 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 29%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
74%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
74%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
28%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 73% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at GPT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
How late will it get to GPT?
On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
28%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.19 in
GPT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.