Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3547 · GRK → DFW
departs 3:08 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 46%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
75%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
28%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 69% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 75% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
28%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 3.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at GRK that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.19 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.