Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3563
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
MQ 3563 · CLT → HHH
departs 9:57 AM ET · arrives 11:17 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 40%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HHH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at HHH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HHH?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
CLT is busy at that time
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HHH
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
HHH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.