Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3567
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3567 · DFW → RAP
departs 8:03 PM CT · arrives 9:31 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 34%
Sat 10/3 26%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at RAP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RAP?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
RAP usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.11 in
RAP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.