Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3576 · DFW → HRL
departs 8:35 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
37%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 62% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
37%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 4.18 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.