Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3576 · DFW → HRL
departs 8:35 AM CT · arrives 10:12 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into HRL at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.76 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.