Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3576 · HRL → DFW
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 38%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
84%
chance · ±0 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
84%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
55%
Cancelled
51%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 84% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
84%
Yes 84%
No 16%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +34 pts in 24h
+34 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +33 pts in 24h
+33 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
8%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
51%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 6.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.