Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3576 · HRL → DFW
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
33%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
33%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,033 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.