Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3576 · HRL → DFW
departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 5%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
10am departures from HRL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.65 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.