Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3592 · DFW → ICT
departs 12:28 PM CT · arrives 1:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 47%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
79%
chance · ±0 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
79%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.44 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.