MQ 3612 · DFW → AEX

departs 9:23 AM CT · arrives 10:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at AEX more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AEX?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
30%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

AEX (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3612 · DFW → AEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to AEX?