Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3615
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
MQ 3615 · DFW → LBB
departs 10:46 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
87%
chance · ±0 pts
+31 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
87%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
87%
Yes 87%
No 13%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 6.50 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.