MQ 3616 · MIA → CMH

departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 10:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.28 in

CMH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3616 · MIA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?