MQ 3654 · CLL → DFW

departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from CLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.78 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3654 · CLL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?